| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 2026 | W | Sacramento State | 28-17 | 1421.2 | +31.4 | 1452.5 | 79.0% |
| 1 | Sep 4 2026 | L | San José State | 21-27 | 1421.2 | +31.4 | 1452.5 | 44.4% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | L | Michigan State | 7-35 | 1452.5 | -32.7 | 1419.8 | 14.8% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | Wisconsin | 10-54 | 1419.8 | -50.1 | 1369.7 | 12.7% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | Lindenwood | 29-3 | 1369.7 | +7.5 | 1377.2 | 86.3% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | Massachusetts | 38-14 | 1377.2 | +47.2 | 1424.5 | 38.2% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Akron | 25-23 | 1424.5 | +1.9 | 1426.4 | 63.1% |